Pound swings wildly as Brexit talks reach ‘moment of truth’

The pound see-sawed on Friday as EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier said Brexit talks had reached a “moment of truth,” warning there were just a few hours to make progress

Sterling was trading 0.3% down against the dollar (GBPUSD=X) at $1.354, and down 0.2% against the euro (GBPEUR=X) at $1.105

Investors weighed up conflicting signs over progress in Brexit trade talks and UK retail figures. Official data on UK retail sales showed a less severe contraction in November than expected. It marked the first decline in six months, but one analyst called a 3.8% fall “relatively modest.” Much of the UK faced tighter lockdown restrictions last month including a shutdown of ‘non-essential’ shops in England

Sterling recouped some of its overnight losses briefly on the data at around 7am local time before falling off again.

The pound had fallen in the early hours of the morning in London, after hitting a two-year high against the dollar on Thursday as traders digested the latest Brexit developments.

EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier warned both sides stood at a “moment of truth” in the talks, saying there was only a “very narrow” path to an agreement. “We’re not asking more nor less than a balance between rights and obligations and reciprocity, access to our markets and access to our waters and the other way round, no more, no less,” he told the European Parliament on Friday morning.

“It’s also obvious that this isn’t an agreement we will sign at any price or any cost.”

The pound wobbled against the dollar in early trading on Friday (18 December). Chart: Yahoo Finance UK
The pound wobbled against the dollar in early trading on Friday (18 December). Chart: Yahoo Finance UK

Prime minister Boris Johnson warned late on Thursday after another call with European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen that it looked “very likely” Britain would leave without agreement.

He said negotiations were in a “serious situation,” with time short and gaps still over the EU’s ‘level playing field’ demand and fishing.

Downing Street said in a statement that Johnson had stressed the EU’s position on fishing was “simply not reasonable” and had to shift “significantly” for an agreement to be reached.

But the statement also said gaps had narrowed on the level playing field question, and hinted in more detail than usual at only two specific sticking points on fishing. Britain could not accept a lack of control over its owner waters “for an extended period,” and could not accept fisheries quotas “which hugely disadvantaged its own industry.”

Meanwhile von der Leyen said bridging gaps would be “very challenging,” but said there had been “substantial progress” on many issues. Similar references to progress by EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier had helped sterling rally on Thursday.

Negotiations are set to continue on Friday, with Sunday increasingly seen as the latest deadline for progress if a deal is to be ratified by legislators on both sides by the end of the year.

Source(s): YAHOO FINANCE

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