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Oil climbs on prospect of fresh Russia sanctions

Oil prices rose on Tuesday as Europe announced plans to impose new sanctions on Russian oil imports to punish Moscow over alleged war crimes in Ukraine, raising concerns over tighter global supply.

Brent crude was up 63 cents at $108.16 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate advanced 47 cents to $103.70

“With the European Union working on new sanctions that may target Russia’s oil industry, crude prices could edge up in the near term,” FXTM analyst Lukman Otunuga said

The West is planning new sanctions against Russia over civilian killings in Ukraine, with President Joe Biden’s national security adviser saying that new U.S. sanctions against Moscow would be announced this week

The European Commission on Tuesday proposed new sanctions against Russia, including a ban on buying Russian coal and on Russian ships entering EU ports

German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock said the ban on coal will be followed by oil and then gas

To calm oil prices, U.S.-allied countries agreed last week to a coordinated oil release from strategic reserves for the second time in a month. However, Japanese industry minister Koichi Hagiuda on Tuesday said that the International Energy Agency (IEA) was still examining details of the release

Oil prices jumped by more than $2 after his comments

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, expects oil prices to trade between $90 and $120 a barrel during the second quarter

“Key events that could trigger additional uncertainty remain the prospect for an Iran nuclear deal, Venezuela being allowed to increase production and, not least, an increase in U.S. shale oil production,” he said

The United States still believes there is an opportunity to overcome the remaining differences with Iran in talks over its nuclear programme, State Department spokesman Ned Price said on Monday

Any signs that the United States and Iran are moving closer to a nuclear deal, which would return up to 1.3 million barrels per day of Iranian oil to global markets, would weigh on oil prices, BCA research said

The end of the refinery maintenance period in Europe also lent some support to oil prices, analysts said, because it will allow higher crude intake

Also Iraq announced on Tuesday that it produced 4.15 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil in March, 222,000 bpd short of its production quota under an agreement with other OPEC+ producers

Underinvestment and maintenance problems have stymied efforts by some other OPEC+ producers to raise output, including Angola and Nigeria, adding to the supply tightness

Kazakhstan, an OPEC+ producer, has also cut its oil output forecast to 85.7 million tonnes this year from the previous target of 87.5 million after damage to the Caspian Pipeline Consortium terminal in Russia

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